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Home > Uncategorized > Page 10

Trust Your Neighbor; Tie Your Camel

October 25, 2013 by Philip Barton

In my last article, I introduced the topic of trust based credit… or how to make money without money. In today’s G’man dominated world, only fringe economic activities like street vending of umbrellas escape the all-smothering regulatory blanket. But imagine if the whole world economy could run on ‘trust based credit’… and escape the ‘vampire squid’ actions of the Bankster and the G’man… impossible you say? Just a pipe dream?

Well, the historic reality is that prior to the madness of WWI… the ‘War to End All Wars’… the world economy did indeed run on such a credit system, with the reality check of ‘trust your neighbor but tie your camel’ in full effect. So effective and efficient was this system of credit, that world trade volume seen before WWI was not matched till the nineteen seventies; almost three quarters of a century later, despite huge growth in population and wealth.

To fully understand the trust based credit system and the enormous and deadly ramifications of its destruction during WWI, we need to understand how the principles employed by the street vendor and umbrella wholesaler apply in the whole world economy.

We all know what a bill is; a paper record of what we purchase… in restaurants the bill is called a check, in bars a tab… but the idea is always the same. We buy some merchandise; a meal, an umbrella (in a retail store) or a pint of brew, get presented with the bill or check or tab, verify the bill… by confirming that what it claims we bought is true… then we accept the bill, and pay it.

The only difference between a retail bill and a commercial bill is the term; retail bills are COD… to be paid immediately. Commercial bills are almost never COD, but give terms; time to pay. Terms are like 30 days net, 60 days, 90 days etc. Thus, while a retail bill is paid immediately, and is ‘retired’… i.e. paid in full and only kept for bookkeeping purposes… the commercial bill stays ‘open’ or in effect until the due date, when it is paid… and only then retired.

A big trailer truck carrying 30,000 Liters of gasoline backs up to the gas station, fills the underground storage tank… and the driver heads to the gas station office to complete the paperwork. Suppose gasoline costs $1 per Liter… do you imagine the station attendant will pay $30,000 in cash? Not likely! Nor can the attendant write a check… he simply signs (accepts) the bill or commercial invoice. The invoice specifies that 30,000 L of gasoline have been delivered, and that payment will be due in say 60 days from the signing date.

Until paid in full, this bill represents value; the value of the 30,000 L of gasoline delivered, and the value of the payment that will be made in not more than 60 days. The holder of the bill, the gasoline wholesaler, may simply hold the bill till it is paid… in his ‘accounts receivable’… or may use it to pay the refinery that produced the gasoline. If he does this, he will assign the bill to the refinery, so that when the gasoline retailer makes payment, the payment will be made to the refinery, not the wholesaler.

This is the crux of the commercial credit system; goods are placed on consignment, a bill written and accepted, and payment made as per the terms of the contract… the bill. Notice credit is granted, goods change hands, but there is no borrowing involved. No borrowing, no interest charges, no collateral… simply trust that the retail gas station will indeed sell the gasoline delivered, and use the proceeds of retail gas sales to pay the bill when due. The bill thus created can circulate, that is clear credit… make payments. Such a bill, one that circulates, is called a Bill of Exchange.

Suppose the retail gas-bar makes a profit of 8% on gasoline sales, and the prevailing interest rates are 4%… reasonable enough assumptions under normal economic circumstances. The retail gas-bar owner has three choices to fund inventory; use bank credit i.e. borrow the funds; use his own capital; or work with ‘trust based’ credit. Today, most retailers except fringe operations like street vendors, and ‘vertical’ transactions within one industry like petroleum products, have only the first two choices available to them.

To make an 8% annualized profit, the gas bar owner will make a 2% profit by re-selling the gasoline in ninety days; he then  buys another batch of 30,000 L… makes another 2% profit in the next 90 days… and repeats this four times a year. Four times 2% is 8%, the annualized profit. Now consider this; if the interest rate is 4% per annum that translates to 1% per quarter… the 90 day period that the 30,000 L must be funded. Isn’t this incredible; net profit is 2%, and cost of interest is 1%… half the profits go to pay the Bankster!

The second alternative is to fund the purchase with cash, the retailer’s own capital; this plays up the ‘you need money to make money’ rule spread by the Bankster… and yes, if the retailer has the cash, he can indeed fund the purchase… but then he falls prey to opportunity costs. The cash invested in gasoline inventory could have been invested in a bond that pays 4% annual interest income; so, the retailer is still hit.

With borrowed funds, he pays 1/2  his profit to the Bankster. With cash payment, the retailer loses 1/3 of the profit he could have made using the third option, trust based credit to fund the gasoline… and investing his own capital in something else. If he makes 8% on gas sales, and 4% on interest earned on his capital, that is a 12% per annum income on the $30,000; not bad at all, is it?

Now we start to see the benefit of ‘trust based credit’… cost of doing business drops drastically. Indeed, there are many enterprises… and job opportunities… that remain ‘in potentia’; they never materialize because the cost of doing business on a cash or borrowed funds basis is too high. These ‘phantom’ enterprises actually did exist under Gold, when all retail business not just the fringe ones took advantage of trust based credit. This is one major reason there was no structural unemployment under the Classical Gold Standard.

But really, we have just scratched the surface of the magical benefits of ‘trust based credit’, often called the Bills of Exchange system… or the Real Bills Doctrine of Adam Smith. The full vertical and horizontal circulation of Bills, the international BiIl market, the discount rate… these all depend on the free circulation of Gold and Silver coin. Much G’man and Bankster effort goes into suppressing Gold and Silver money, in order to suppress the Bill market… and to keep the world economy hooked up to the ‘vampire squid’.

Once the Fiat paper regime collapses and real money makes its comeback, circulation of Real Bills will again arise. Monetary debasement will be replaced by constantly increasing purchasing power of money. Structural unemployment and the dole will be replaced by full employment. Financial speculation will be replaced by real wealth generation.

I can hardly wait.

Rudy J. Fritsch

Editor in Chief

 

Filed Under: Rudy Fritsch, Uncategorized

The American Corner: Gold Confiscation

August 27, 2013 by Philip Barton

It is well known that in 1933, President Roosevelt confiscated the gold of U.S. citizens and made possession of gold illegal. He gave gold owners about $20 an ounce and when he was done, he raised the gold price to $35. The common telling of this story portrays it as a simple case of robbery. It makes people wonder if 1933 is a precedent, if the government might confiscate gold in the not-too-distant future.

I don’t think it was so simple.

Let’s look at how the monetary system worked prior to 1933. The U.S. had a central bank, but it did not have the unlimited and arbitrary power that the Fed wields today. Gold performed a vital function in the economy, regulating credit and interest.

At that time, there was not what we think of today as a gold “price”. Loans and other credit were made in the form of gold, and repayment or redemption was in gold (even if most of the people did not demand redemption). Credit, including dollar bills, was redeemed at the rate of one ounce for about $20. The dollar at the time was closer to a weight of gold, than to a separate money in its own right.[1]

What does it mean to say that credit is redeemable? One way to look at credit redemption is that it extinguishes debt. If a debt is paid in gold, the debtor gets out of debt. But, also the debt itself goes out of existence. Credit contracts, as it should. In the gold standard, even in the centrally planned, centrally banked adulterated gold standard that existed until 1933, credit could contract as well as expand. This is not what the government wanted then (or now). Let’s look at one mechanism of credit contraction.

A depositor with a demand deposit account could demand his gold from a bank. If the bank were scrupulous about duration matching, it would own only gold and Real Bills to back it. Redeeming the deposit would cause no harm. However, one factor in the boom of the 1920’s was duration mismatch (i.e. borrowing short to lend long). Much can be said about this practice but for now, let’s focus on the fact that the bank has extended credit that the owners of the capital—the depositors—did not intend to extend. Depositor withdrawals of gold forced credit to contract, and this contraction caused problems for the bank. A forcible contraction of credit[2] is how I define deflation.

When the depositor demands his gold, it pulls precious liquidity out of the bank. In 1933, there were runs on the banks and many banks defaulted when they could not honor their deposit agreements. Redemption also forces the bank to sell bonds. Selling bonds causes the price to drop. Since the interest rate is the inverse of the bond price, interest rises.

Someone, somewhere in the economy is suddenly starved for credit, perhaps in the middle of a long-term project. We call him the “marginal entrepreneur”. He must liquidate assets. He must also lay off workers, because his reduced capital base cannot support the same workforce.

President Roosevelt had a brilliant (if evil) advisor. John Maynard Keynes would certainly have grasped the nature of this mechanism as I describe it above. Roosevelt presided over a wholesale conversion of the economy from free markets, to central planning under regulations, taxes, diktats, price minimums, price caps, control boards, duties, fees, and tariffs. Central planners regard the market as irrational, chaotic, and self-destructive. They see no reason to let the market prevail. It is so easy to order things, as they “ought” to be ordered.

In 1933, they wanted to stop runs on banks and to push down the rate of interest. A secondary goal was to begin the slow process of altering the public’s perception of gold as money. President Roosevelt’s Executive Order 6102 accomplished all of these goals (at least runs due to a lack of gold liquidity—he had no power to stop runs due to other causes).

Today, by contrast, the dollar is irredeemable, a debt obligation of our central bank. When you pay a debt with another form of debt, you are personally out of the debt loop, but the debt does not go away. It is merely shifted to the Fed. There is no extinguisher of debt. There is no way for debt to be paid and go out of existence, and no way for a depositor to redeem his deposit in gold.

This also means that the saver cannot force credit contraction or the rate of interest to rise. Instead, the interest rate is putty in the hands of the central bank (well, not quite, as I am arguing in my ongoing series on the theory of interest and prices). The saver is totally disenfranchised.

And how about the public perception of gold and money? Even the gold bugs today think of the value of gold in terms of how many dollars it is “worth” per ounce. But for the lonely warriors in the 1970’s and 1980’s who kept the memory of gold alive through the dark years, and but for more recent gold advocates, and now the Gold Standard Institute, the victory of the central planners would have been complete.

Could the US government grab the gold as they did in 1933? Anything is possible. I make no political predictions. One thing is certain. If they grab gold today it will not be for the reasons they did it in 1933. Those reasons are no longer applicable.

Keith Weiner August 2013

[1] As I show in The Unadulterated Gold Standard Part I, the government made several missteps from the time of the Founding through 1933, and each time the dollar evolved away from its original identity of 371 ¼ grains of silver.

[2] Inflation: An Expansion of Counterfeit Credit

Filed Under: Uncategorized

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